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Votorantim Celulose e Papel S.A.
VCP.NISIN: US92906P1066SEDOL: 2696560 |
Rating: SELL |
Target Price: 6.07 USD |
Investment Horizon: 6 to 12 months |
2Q 09 News Alert
Votorantim Celulose e Papel S.A. (VCP) announced its 2Q 09 results1 on 17 July 2009. Although the company reported moderate y-o-y growth in revenues, the bottom-line soared due to hefty gains from foreign exchange transactions and equity earnings from Aracruz Celulose S.A. (Aracruz). However, considering the company's large debt burden, as well as the sharp rise in the ADR price seen over recent weeks, we still view the company as heavily…
1Q 09 News Alert
Votorantim Celulose e Papel S.A. (VCP) announced its 1Q 09 results on 14 May 2009, reporting a moderate decline in revenues and losses at the net level. Given current market dynamics for paper and pulp, we expect to keep our target price at a low level when we revalue the company in our next update report. Therefore, at current levels, we maintain our 6-12 month SELL rating. We will reassess our ADR (1 ADR = 1 Brazilian preferred share) rating in our next update report....
Company News Alert
The Votorantim Celulose e Papel S.A. (VCP) ADR has appreciated significantly since our last update, as investors reacted positively to data suggesting that the pulp market may have bottomed out. Nevertheless, our fundamental outlook remains unchanged. Therefore, considering the recent surge in the ADR price, we downgrade our 6-12 month rating from a HOLD to a SELL. We will reassess our ADR (1 ADR = 1 Brazilian preferred shares) rating after the company releases…
4Q 08 Update Report
We remain concerned about the significant cash outflow and the huge financial obligations VCP will take on board in relation to the acquisition of Aracruz. Although raising fresh capital will solve the immediate cash flow requirements, the issuance of new shares will have a dilutive effect on the company’s EPS in the long term. Also, the issue price of BRL19 per share, despite being at a premium to current prices, is less than half VCP’s trailing twelve month…
4Q 08 & FY 2008 News Alert
Votorantim Celulose e Papel S.A. (VCP) announced its 4Q 08 and FY 2008 results on 31 March 2009, noting that lower pulp demand and unfavorable exchange rate movements have negatively impacted its bottom-line. However, at current levels, we continue to see upside potential, given the company’s relative cost advantage and the fall in the ADR price since our last update report. Therefore, we reiterate the…
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