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Companhia Siderurgica Nacional
SID.NISIN: US20440W1053SEDOL: 2220936 |
Rating: SELL |
Target Price: 19.43 USD |
Investment Horizon: 6 to 12 months |
1Q 09 Update Report
The global economic downturn has shown some signs of bottoming out during 1Q 09 with demand for steel from the auto and construction sectors beginning to pick up during 2Q 09. Steel demand in Brazil has shown signs of recovery and given CSN’s concentration on its domestic market, we expect the company's performance to be less severely affected by global economic downturn and projected y-o-y decline in steel demand in 2009. However, according to the Brazilian Steel…
Company News Alert
The Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (CSN) common stock has appreciated significantly since our 4Q and FY 2008 update report, reflecting positive market reaction to encouraging economic data and a broad-based rally in global equity markets. However, we remain concerned about the company’s near term performance, particularly after its recent weak 1Q 09 results. Therefore, at current levels, we maintain our 6-12 month SELL rating until we reassess our common stock rating for…
1Q 09 News Alert
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional's (CSN) revenues fell sharply in 1Q 09, while earnings came in below our estimate due to higher-than-expected costs. Going forward, we expect the slowdown in the global economy to continue to impact revenues and profitability, especially considering that the automotive and construction sectors have been particularly hard hit. In light of these earnings, we expect to lower our target price in our next update report....
FY 2008 Update Report
The slowdown in sectors that consume steel, such as construction and automobile manufacturing, has resulted in a steep decline in demand for steel across the globe. We do not expect a significant recovery in the auto and construction sectors in 2009, hence we do not expect steel demand and prices to increase significantly over our investment horizon. However with CSN’s continued shift towards sales to its domestic market, we expect the company will be able…
4Q 08 News Alert
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional’s (CSN) 4Q 08 revenues and adjusted1 net income were above our estimates due to significantly higher-than-expected steel prices. However considering the recent decline in metal prices, we expect to cut our estimates and target price in our next update report. Therefore, we maintain our SELL rating for the coming 6-12 months. We will reassess our NYSE common stock rating for CSN in our next full update report....
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